Tuesday, November 28, 2023

SUPREME COURT SAYS 'YES' TO ICC WITHDRAWAL

 Chapter 8

SUPREME COURT SAYS YES TO ICC WITHDRAWAL

 “Nothing matters but the facts. Without them, the science of criminal investigation is nothing more than a guessing game.” – Blake Edwards

 “Art is an investigation.” – Twyla Tharp

 

AFTER Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV and Rep. Gary Alejano of the Magdalo Party List submitted in 2017 the two separate pieces of information accusing Rodrigo Duterte and his cohorts of crimes against humanity arising from the extrajudicial killings (EJKs) of alleged drug users and traders,  a lull of almost a year occurred. Finally, it had resulted in the February 18, 2018 announcement by the International Criminal Court (ICC), through its Office of the Prosecutor, that it would conduct what it described a “preliminary investigation” of the charges imputed on Duterte and his ilk. This is the first of a series of steps to ascertain Duterte’s culpability or non-culpability.

Then ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda said her office would initiate a process that might take years to complete mainly to gather information on whether or not Duterte and his ilk committed any crimes, or whether or not they were serious enough to be admissible at the ICC, or whether or not the ICC has jurisdiction, or it falls under the principle of complementarity since the Rome Statute says it can only prosecute crimes when a member-state itself fails to do so. In brief, the preliminary investigation would center mainly on the principles of admissibility, jurisdiction, and complementarity, as what the Rome Statute has clearly defined.

The Rome Statute empowers the ICC to collate, on its own, available information and data to serve as the basis if a particular situation meets the criteria to initiate the next step – the more complicated process of formal investigation. The preliminary examination could start on the basis of the information sent by individuals or groups, other states, and intergovernmental or non-governmental organizations. It can act on a referral from a State Party or the United Nations Security Council and a declaration lodged by a State accepting the exercise of jurisdiction by the Court pursuant to the provisions of the Rome Statute.

The ICC website said: “Once a situation is thus identified, the factors set out in Article 53 (paragraph 1 and subparagraphs a and c) of the  Statute establish the legal framework for a preliminary examination. This Article provides that, in order to determine whether there is a reasonable basis to proceed with an investigation into the situation, the Prosecutor shall consider: jurisdiction (temporal, either territorial or personal, and material); admissibility (complementarity and gravity); and the interests of justice.”

VIOLENT  REACTION. After Bensouda announced the pursuit of preliminary investigation, then presidential spokesman Harry Roque said in a press briefing that “the President welcomes this preliminary examination because he is sick and tired of being accused of the commission of crimes against humanity.” Duterte’s violent reaction, spoken through a minor Palace official in Roque, was not the end. On March 13, 2018, Duterte released an official Palace statement announcing the withdrawal of the Philippines as a state party from the Rome Statute. It was Duterte’s unilateral decision. He did not consult the Senate, which concurred in 2011 in the ratification of the multilateral treaty creating the ICC. Neither did he ask the opinions of local or foreign think tanks, experts,  and academics on international law.

Duterte said that “the very considerations upon which the Philippines agreed to be a signatory to the Rome Statute have not been observed nor complied with.” He cited the following reasons for withdrawal: violation of his right to due process of law, lack of jurisdiction over his person, the supremacy of domestic laws, presidential immunity from suit, and lack of the requisite publication in the Philippines’ Official Gazette. A written notification of withdrawal was deposited with the United Nations on  March 17, 2018.

From all indications, Rodrigo Duterte was not advised properly on the provisions of the Rome Statute. That time, the lawyer, who was said to have knowledge of international law, was Harry Roque, who openly bragged and claimed in his press statement that  he had “hours of consultations” with Duterte. How long, when, and where  they held consultations was totally unclear. What was achieved during those consultations was ambiguous too. Withdrawing from the ICC in a fit of fury did not mean that Duterte would no longer be responsible for his alleged crimes. Despite the withdrawal of the Philippines, Duterte and his ilk would have to face criminal responsibility as laid down by the Rome Statute.

TRUE ENOUGH. On March 20, 2018, the ICC reacted to Duterte’s act, clarifying that the  withdrawal had “no impact on on-going proceedings or any matter which was already under consideration by the Court prior to the date on which the withdrawal became effective.” The ICC said “withdrawal from the court will not change the Philippines’ obligations to cooperate in a proceeding which had already begun.” Instead, the ICC has encouraged Manila to cooperate with the ICC in its preliminary examination covering crimes by Filipinos prior to the effectivity of the withdrawal, participate in the ICC processes, and respond to the calls of domestic and international human rights mechanisms to probe, prosecute, and punish perpetrators, who allegedly committed EJKs on the war on drugs.

 Duterte did not get the right advice. There was commission and omission- largely unwittingly - by his advisers. As clarified later, the country’s unilateral withdrawal from the ICC would take effect a year after it has submitted its notice of withdrawal to the United Nations. The withdrawal starts on March 17, 2019. It was later explained that the ICC would still conduct preliminary investigation, but it would cover the period  2011-2019, when the Philippines was an ICC member-state. The ICC has accepted the withdrawal decision initiated solely by Duterte. What followed next were at least three separate petitions or test cases, asking the Supreme Court to nullify Duterte’s initiative of unilateral withdrawal.

Duterte’s unilateral action did not escape the attention of some senators, who have strong adherence to human rights. Then Senate Minority leader Franklin Drilon and 13 other senators authored Senate Resolution 289, or the "Resolution Expressing the Sense of the Senate that Termination of, or Withdrawal from, Treaties and International Agreements Concurred in by the Senate shall be Valid and Effective Only Upon Concurrence by the Senate." The resolution did not take off, as it hardly moved. The Senate inaction on the resolution had decisive effects on the Supreme Court decision.

For the record, the 17th Congress (2016-2019) had the following members of the Senate: Vicente Sotto III; Senate President; Ralph Recto; Senate President Pro-tempore; Miguel Zubiri, Majority Leader; Franklin Drilon, Minority Leader;  Juan Edgardo Angara; Ma. Lourdes Nancy Binay; Paulo Benigno Aquino IV; Leila de Lima; Richard Gordon; Sherwin Gatchalian; and Alan Peter Cayetano. Other members: Antonio Trillanes IV; Joel Villanueva; Cynthia Villar; Joseph Victor Ejercito; Francis Escudero; Gregorio Honasan II; Risa Hontiveros; Panfilo Lacson; Loren Legarda; Emmanuel Pacquiao; Francis Pangilinan; Aquilino Pimentel III; and Grace Poe.

Only six senators were listed as petitioners in the petition assailing as unconstitutional Duterte’s unilateral decision for the Philippines to withdraw from the ICC. They were Pangilinan, Drilon, Trillanes, de Lima, Hontiveros, and Aquino. They were the anti-EJKs senators. Cayetano was listed as among the defendants in the decision because he became the Department of Foreign Affairs secretary in 2019. Cayetano supported the state-sponsored EJKs. The remaining 17 senators either favored the EJKs, or were disinterested to tackle the issue of great magnitude in what appeared to be exchanges for whatever considerations they could get from the incumbent president. It has been a common practice that the incumbent president provides concessions to lawmakers, including senators, in exchange for either inaction or favorable action on certain favored legislative measures.

UNANIMOUS OPINION. On March 16, 2021, the Supreme Court came out with a unanimous opinion that Duterte’s unilateral decision of withdrawal from the Rome Statute has become “moot” because the ICC has accepted the withdrawal anyway. The precedent-setting decision, penned by Associate Justice Marvic Leonen, said the Senate did not assert its prerogative for the Duterte government to seek its concurrence on his move to withdraw from the ICC. The decision could be regarded as landmark because it has covered many areas and issues to contribute to Philippine jurisprudence. Simply, the decision to withdraw stays, but not with the many ramifications and implications.

 It said: “Through these actions, the Philippines completed the requisite acts of withdrawal. This was all consistent and in compliance with what the Rome Statute plainly requires. By this point, all that was needed to enable withdrawal have been consummated. Further, the International Criminal Court acknowledged the Philippines' action soon after it had withdrawn. This foreclosed the existence of a  state of affairs correctible by this Court's finite jurisdiction. The Petitions were, therefore, moot when they were filed. The International Criminal Court's subsequent consummate acceptance of the withdrawal all but confirmed the futility of this Court's insisting on a reversal of completed actions.”

In brief, the High Court has sustained Duterte’s unilateral decision of withdrawal. It did not give in any way to the petitioners’ demand for the Supreme Court to declare as unconstitutional the withdrawal of the Philippines from the Rome Statute. In its opinion, the Duterte government did not violate the constitutional provisions on entering into a treaty.  Neither did the High Court require the Duterte government to take back the notice of withdrawal it had submitted to the United Nations. But it did not end there as it acknowledged the country’s commitment to the ICC when it was a member-state.

‘NOT TABLED.’ It continued: “Moreover, the Senate never sought to enforce what would have been its prerogative to require its concurrence for withdrawal. To date, Resolution No. 289, which seeks to express the chamber's position on the need for concurrence, has yet to be tabled and voted on. Individual senators have standing to question the constitutionality of the actions of their chamber. Yet, in this case, as shown by the Resolution which petitioners co-authored, they acknowledged that an action by the Senate was necessary before coming to this Court. Thus, no actual conflict or constitutional impasse has yet arisen even as implied by their actions.”

The landmark decision has established a clear distinction on the extent of presidential powers on a treaty. It is not absolute, it said. The legislative participation could be a way to check abuses of the presidential powers in treaty-making and withdrawal. In the case of Duterte’s unilateral decision for the country’s withdrawal from the Rome Statute, the Supreme Court had laid the blame squarely on the Senate for its failure to assert its power over the presidential powers on treaty-making and withdrawal.

It said: “Nonetheless, the President's discretion on unilaterally withdrawing from any treaty or international agreement is not absolute. As primary architect of foreign policy, the president enjoys a  degree of leeway to withdraw from treaties. However, this leeway cannot go beyond the president's authority under the Constitution and the laws. In appropriate cases, legislative involvement is imperative. The president cannot unilaterally withdraw from a  treaty if there is subsequent legislation which affirms and implements it.”

It said: “The extent of legislative involvement in withdrawing from treaties is further determined by circumstances attendant to how the treaty was entered into or came into effect. Where legislative imprimatur impelled the president's action to enter into a  treaty, a  withdrawal cannot be effected without concomitant legislative sanction. Similarly, where the Senate's concurrence imposes as a  condition the same concurrence for withdrawal, the  president enjoys no unilateral authority to withdraw, and must then secure Senate concurrence.”

It said: “Thus, the president can withdraw from a treaty as a matter of policy in keeping with our legal system, if a  treaty is unconstitutional or contrary to provisions of an existing  prior statute. However, the president may not unilaterally withdraw from a treaty: (a) when the Senate conditionally concurs, such that it requires concurrence also to withdraw; or (b) when the withdrawal itself will be contrary to a  statute, or to a  legislative authority to negotiate and enter into a  treaty, or an existing law which implements a treaty.”

HISTORICAL BACKGROUND. It was the administration of Fidel Ramos that labored from 1996 until 1998 under the most difficult circumstances to provide inputs for the drafting of the Rome Statute. At that time, the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) was being contemplated as the ad hoc body to hold Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic accountable for the “ethnic cleansing” in the Balkan. But a more permanent world court was already being envisioned to prevent despots from murdering their people.

On Dec. 26, 2000, President Joseph “Erap” Estrada signed the Rome Statute  to signify its ratification and the country’s commitment to abide by its provisions. It took almost three more years for the International Criminal Court to get created.  President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo did not work for its concurrence by the Senate but her administration came out instead with Republic Act 9851. According to Norberto Gonzales, who served as her defense secretary, the Arroyo Cabinet was divided on the move to send it to the Senate for concurrence. There were discussions among themselves. In the end, they had opted for the enactment of a local law, the provisions of which are similar to the Rome Statute’s.   

The decision said: “On December 11, 2009, with Senate concurrence to the Rome Statute still pending, then President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo signed into law Republic Act No. 9851, otherwise known as the Philippine Act on Crimes Against International Humanitarian Law, Genocide, and Other Crimes Against Humanity. Republic Act No. 9851 replicated many of the Rome Statute's provisions.

It said: “Some provisions, however, are significantly different. In some aspects, the law went beyond the Rome Statute. It broadened the definition of torture, added the conscription of child soldiers as a war crime, and stipulated jurisdiction over crimes against humanity anywhere in the world, as long as the offender or victim is Filipino. This removes complementarity as a requirement for prosecution of crimes against humanity under the ratified treaty. While the treaty's language had to be refined to take the interests of other countries into consideration, the law was independently passed considering all our interests. This independent, voluntary initiative strengthened our own criminal justice system.”

“Senate concurrence to the Rome Statute was obtained following President Benigno Aquino Ill's election. On August 23, 2011, the Senate, with a  vote of 17-1, passed Resolution No. 546-enabling the Philippines' consummate accession to the Rome Statute.  On August 30, 2011, the Philippines deposited the instrument of ratification of the Rome Statute. On November 1, 2011, the Rome Statute entered into force in the Philippines. The country was the 16th state party to belong to the Group of Asia-Pacific State Parties in the International Criminal Court.”

The Supreme Court decision acknowledged Duterte’s unilateral move to withdraw, but it neither mentioned nor stressed his reasons for withdrawal. Except one, which was the failure to have the Rome Statute published in the Official Gazette,  the official periodical of all state initiatives, pronouncements, and statements. Its exact words: “On March 15, 2018, the Philippines announced that it was withdrawing from the International Criminal Court. President Duterte claimed that the country never became a  state party to the Rome Statute since the treaty was not published in the Official Gazette.” The decision did not make any further reference to the other reasons raised by Duterte in his ICC withdrawal statement. This  was tantamount to its way of dismissing their importance.

The decision cited the official act of the Philippines on the withdrawal: “On March 16, 2018, the Philippines formally submitted its Notice of Withdrawal from the International Criminal Court to the United Nations. Enrique Manalo, the Permanent Representative of the Republic of the Philippines to the United Nations in New York, deposited the Note Verbale to Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti, Chef de Cabinet of the United Nations' Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.”

SENATE CONCURRENCE. In their petition for certiorari and mandamus before the High Court, Pangilinan and his fellow senators argued that Duterte’s move for the Philippines to withdraw from the Rome Statute was unconstitutional because it was done unilaterally without the Senate’s concurrence. They argued that the unilateral withdrawal had the same effect as repeal of a law enacted by Congress. Hence, the president cannot repeal the law, a power that rightfully belongs to Congress. Following that line of argument, the Rome Statute cannot be repealed without the concurrence of two-thirds vote of the Senate.

In a separate petition, the Philippine Coalition for the Establishment of the International Criminal Court led by Ann Loretta Rosales, a former lawmaker and street protester, argued that Duterte’s decision for withdrawal has impaired the constitutional right to life, personal security, and dignity of every citizen.13 They argued that ratification and withdrawal from a multilateral treaty require the Senate's concurrence. They claimed that, contrary to Duterte’s assertion,  the Rome Statute was  effective in domestic jurisdiction by virtue of the Constitution's incorporation clause, despite its lack of publication in the Official Gazette. They asked the High Court to declare as “invalid” the notice of withdrawal. The third petition filed by the Integrated Bar of the Philippines (IBP), the country’ premier organization of lawyers, echoed almost the same lines of arguments in the first two petitions. The High Court integrated the three separate petitions into one and issued a single opinion.

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LANDMARK DECISION

By all means, the consolidated petition constituted a landmark initiative that required an appropriate interpretation of the law by the Supreme Court. Their importance emanates from the fact that all decisions by the Supreme Court, as the highest judicial body, form part of the laws of the land along with laws that have been enacted by Congress and the executive orders and implementing rules laid down by the Executive. But it should be said that the Philippines has the choice to rejoin the ICC, if it wishes to do so in the future.

In denying the petition to declare as unconstitutional Duterte’s unilateral decision, the Supreme Court said: “Petitioners are before us through the vehicles of petitions for certiorari and mandamus under Rule 65 of the Rules of Court, praying that the Philippine Notice of Withdrawal be declared void ab initio, and that the withdrawal itself be declared invalid. They also pray for a writ of mandamus to direct the Executive Secretary to recall and revoke the Notice of Withdrawal, and to submit the issue before the Senate for its deliberation. These Petitions fail on significant procedural grounds. It is  true that this Court, in the exercise of its judicial power, can craft a  framework to interpret Article VII, Section 21 of the Constitution and determine the extent to which Senate concurrence in treaty withdrawal is imperative. However, it will be excessive for any such framework to be imposed on the circumstances surrounding these present Petitions, seeing as how the incidents here are fait accompli.”

It said: “Petitioners want a different political result from what the President has done, and so they implore this Court to veto his action, raising serious policy implications in so doing. This Court must exercise restraint in the face of political posturing, and must anchor its determination not on political results, but on principles and the text found in the Constitution and law. The most basic of these principles are parameters that determine the justiciability of cases. Judicial office impels capacity to rule in keeping with what the Constitution or law mandates, even when potentially contrary to what a magistrate may prefer politically.”16

NO EXIT MECHANISM. The High Court said “treaty-making is a  function lodged in the Executive branch, which is headed by the president,” and that “a treaty's effectivity depends on the Senate's concurrence, in accordance with the  Constitution's system of checks and balances.” But while entering into a treaty has a clear mechanism under the Constitution, the decision noted that it has no no clear exit mechanism. The Constitution does not mention a specific way for the country to withdraw from treaties and executive agreements. It said:

“While Senate concurrence is expressly required to make treaties valid and effective, no similar express mechanism concerning withdrawal from treaties or international agreements is provided in the Constitution or any statute. Similarly, no constitutional or statutory provision grants the president the unilateral power to terminate treaties. This vacuum engenders the controversy around which the present consolidated Petitions revolve.”

In what appeared to be a single sweep, the decision said: “All told, the president, as primary architect of foreign policy, negotiates and enters into international agreements. However, the president's power is not absolute, but is checked by the Constitution, which requires Senate concurrence. Treaty-making is a power lodged in the executive, and is balanced by the legislative branch. The textual configuration of the Constitution hearkens both to the basic separation of powers and to a  system of checks and balances. Presidential discretion is recognized, but it is not absolute. While no constitutional mechanism exists on how the Philippines withdraws from, an intemational agreement, the president's unbridled discretion vis-a-vis treaty abrogation may run counter to the basic prudence underlying the entire system of entry into and domestic operation of treaties.”

NOT SIMILAR. The decision rejected the petitioners’ claim that the multilateral treaty concurred in 2011 by the Senate could be regarded similar or akin to an enacted legislation. It said: “In contrast, in the case of a  treaty or international agreement, the president, or those acting under their authority, negotiates its terms. It is merely the finalized instrument that is presented to the Senate alone, and only for its concurrence. Following the president's signature, the Senate may either agree or disagree to the entirety of the treaty or international agreement. It cannot refine or modify the terms. It cannot improve what it deems deficient, or tame apparently excessive stipulations.

“The legislature's highly limited participation means that a  treaty or international agreement did not weather the rigors that attend regular lawmaking. It is true that an effective treaty underwent a  special process involving one ·of our two legislative chambers, but this also means that it bypassed the conventional republican mill.”

It said: “The extent of legislative involvement in withdrawing from treaties is further determined by circumstances attendant to how the treaty was entered into or came into effect. Where legislative imprimatur impelled the president's action to enter into a treaty, a withdrawal cannot be effected without concomitant legislative sanction. Similarly, where the Senate's concurrence imposes as a condition the same concurrence for withdrawal, the president enjoys no unilateral authority to withdraw, and must then secure Senate concurrence.”

The concluding words: “Here, the withdrawal has been communicated and accepted, and there are no means to retract it. This Court cannot extend the reliefs that petitioners seek. The country’s withdrawal from the Rome Statute has been properly received and acknowledged by the United Nations Secretary-General, and has taken effect. These are all that the Rome Statute entails, and these are all that the international community would require for a  valid withdrawal. Having been consummated, these actions bind the Philippines.”

It added: “Moreover, while its text provides a mechanism on how to withdraw from it, the Rome Statute does not have any proviso on the reversal of a state party's withdrawal. We fail to see how this Court can revoke - as what petitioners are in effect asking us to do - the country's withdrawal from the Rome Statute, without writing new terms into the Rome Statute.”

NO MANDAMUS. The decision rejected the petition to issue a writ of mandamus to compel the Duterte government to withdraw the notice of withdrawal from the Rome Statute. It said: “Issuing a  writ of mandamus will not ipso facto restore the Philippines to membership in the International Criminal Court. No provision in the Rome Statute directs how a  state party may reverse its withdrawal from the treaty. It cannot be guaranteed that the Note Verbale's depositary, the United Nations Secretary-General, will assent to this Court's compulsion to reverse the country's withdrawal.

“This Court is  not an international court. It may only rule on the effect of international law on the domestic sphere. What is within its purview is not the effectivity of laws among states, but the effect of international law on the Constitution and our municipal laws. Not only do petitioners pray for a relief directed  at a  discretionary function, but the relief they seek through this Court's finite authority is ineffectual and futile. Ultimately, mandamus will not lie.”

It said: “In withdrawing from the Rome Statute, the President complied with the treaty's requirements. Compliance with its textual provisions cannot be susceptible of an interpretation that his act violated the treaty. Hence, withdrawal per se from the Rome Statute does not violate pacta sunt servanda.”

NO NULLIFICATION. The High Court has made clear that although Duterte had initiated the withdrawal of the Philippines from ICC, it does not mean that he and his ilk are free from the responsibilities specified in the Rome Statute.  It said: “Withdrawing from the Rome Statute does not discharge a  state party from the obligations it has incurred as a member.” It cited as basis the Article 127 (paragraph 2) of the Rome Statute.

It final shot: “Consequently, liability for the alleged summary killings and other atrocities committed in the course of the war on ·drugs is not nullified or negated here. The Philippines remained covered and bound by the Rome Statute until March 1 7, 2019.” Hence, Duterte and his ilk cannot in any way escape responsibility from the bloody but failed war on drugs. No less than the Supreme Court has acknowledged their responsibilities and obligations under the Rome Statute.

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BLACK AND WHITE

Although the decision emphasized judicial restraint in the treatment of the unilateral withdrawal of the Philippines from the Rome Statute, it has made sure that the Philippines would adhere to the ICC provisions, when it was still a member-state. The withdrawal does not mean outright loss of obligations to the ICC. In what could be considered an iron-clad, black and white part of the Supreme Court decision, the following has to be cited:

“Withdrawing from the Rome Statute does not discharge a state party from the obligations it has incurred as a member. Article 127(2) provides: ‘A State shall not be discharged, by reason of its withdrawal, from the obligations arising from this Statute while it was as a Party to the Statute, including any financial obligations which may have accrued. Its withdrawal shall not affect any cooperation with the Court in connection with criminal investigations and proceedings in relation to which the withdrawing State had a duty to cooperate and which were commenced prior to the date on which the withdrawal became effective, nor shall it prejudice in any way the continued consideration of any matter which was already under consideration by the Court prior to the date on which the withdrawal became effective.’

“A state party withdrawing from the Rome Statute must still comply with this provision. Even if it has deposited the instrument of withdrawal, it shall not be discharged from any criminal proceedings. Whatever process was already initiated before the International Criminal Court obliges the state party to cooperate.

“Until the withdrawal took effect on March 17, 2019, the Philippines was committed to meet its obligations under the Rome Statute. Any and all governmental acts up to March 17, 2019 may be taken cognizance of by the International Criminal Court.

“Further, as petitioners in G.R. No. 239483 underscored: [U]nder this reverse complementarity provision in [Republic Act No. 9851, the Preliminary Examination opened by the [International Criminal Court] on the President's drug war is not exactly haram (to borrow a word used in Islam to mean any act forbidden by the Divine). Assuming such a [Preliminary Examination] proceeds . . . when Art. 18 (3) of the Rome Statute comes into play, [Republic Ad No. 9851 may be invoked as basis by Philippine authorities to defer instead to the [International Criminal Court] in respect of any investigation on the same situation.

“Consequently, liability for the alleged summary killings and other atrocities committed in the course of the war on drugs is not nullified or negated here. The Philippines remained covered and bound by the Rome Statute until March 17, 2019.”

The High Court dismissed the petitioners’ claim that the unilateral withdrawal of the country’s membership from the ICC “violated their right to be provided with ample remedies for the protection of their right to life and security.” This is baseless, according to the High Court. “This fear of imagined diminution of legal remedies must be assuaged. The Constitution, which embodies our fundamental rights, was in no way abrogated by the withdrawal. A litany of statutes that protect our rights remain in place and enforceable,” it said.

This is something Rodrigo Duterte and cohorts have a hard time to get to understand. Even their purported lawyers do not understand this issue either. They have kept on insisting that the withdrawal of the Philippines from the Rome Statute has extinguished their liability or responsibility from the Rome Statute. Hence, they have insisted the ICC has no power to run after them. This is false, by all means.

The Supreme Court has laid down the consequences if ever a state like the Philippines refuses to cooperate with the ICC in its probes.The operative phrase is “full cooperation.” The ICC has the power to employ ways to ensure the personal safety of victims. This is a matter that Duterte, cohorts and lawyers have not seen or understood.

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LOCAL LEGISLATION

THE Supreme Court went to discuss the Republic Act No. 9851, or the Philippine Act on Crimes Against International Humanitarian Law, Genocide, and Other Crimes Against Humanity,’ a local legislation, which it said “ echoes the substantive provisions of the Rome Statue.”Then President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo signed it into law on December 11, 2009, or two years before the Senate concurred with the Rome Statute. This law could be regarded as a crucial element of the government's insistence on its ability and willingness to prosecute the persons most responsible for the widespread killings.

The Supreme Court said:

“Republic Act No. 9851 covers rights similarly protected under the Rome Statute. Consequently, no new obligations arose from our membership in the International Criminal Court. Given the variances between the Rome Statute and Republic Act No. 9851, it may even be said that the Rome Statute amended Republic Act No. 9851.”

The High Court said RA 9851 declares the State policy of valuing "the dignity of every human person and guarantee[ing] full respect for human rights, including the rights of indigenous cultural communities and other vulnerable groups, such as women and children." It guarantees protection against "the most serious crimes of concern to the international community as a whole . . . and their effective prosecution must be ensured by taking measures at the national level in order to put an end to impunity for the perpetrators of these crime. It recognizes that the State must "exercise its criminal jurisdiction over those responsible for international crimes."

Its significance lies in the fact that this legislation could be cited as a basis for prosecution for those behind the spate of EJKs. If properly implemented, it could defeat the principle of complementarity, which critics have been using to run after the guilty parties. In the wake of the crimes against humanity charges against Duterte and his ilk before the ICC, the Supreme Court said: “In the interest of justice, the relevant Philippine authorities may dispense with the investigation or prosecution of a crime punishable under this Act if another court or international tribunal is already conducting the investigation or undertaking the prosecution of such crime. Instead, the authorities may surrender or extradite suspected or accused persons in the Philippines to the appropriate international court, if any, or to another State pursuant to the applicable extradition laws and treaties.”

In the wake of the ongoing process at the ICC, this law can be shelved to run after Duterte and cohorts, who were alleged to have been responsible for the death of thousands in the bloody but ill-fated war on drugs. The charges of crimes against humanity that had been lodged against Duterte and ilk take precedence. The process at the ICC assumes importance in the wake of the failure of the Philippine government to prosecute Duterte for the failed war on drugs. 

It continued: “Republic Act No. 9851 expressly confers original and exclusive jurisdiction on regional trial courts over the offenses it punishes. It also provides that this Court shall designate special courts to try these cases. Unlike the Rome Statute, Republic Act No. 9851 dispenses with complementarity as a requirement for prosecution of crimes against humanity. Notably, Republic Act No. 9851 proclaims as state policy the protection of human rights of the accused, the victims, and the witnesses, and provides for accessible and gender-sensitive avenues of redress:

“The State shall guarantee persons suspected or accused of having committed grave crimes under international law all rights necessary to ensure that their trial will he fair and prompt in strict accordance with national and international law and standards for fair trial, It shall also protect victims, witnesses and their families, and provide appropriate redress to victims and their families.. It shall ensure that the legal systems in place provide accessible and gender-sensitive avenues of redress for victims of armed conflict.”

The Supreme Court has come to list down what it described as “significant differences” between the Rome Statute and Republic Act No. 9851. The local law includes torture as one of the  punishable crimes. The Rome Statute does not. The decision defines torture as "the intentional infliction of severe pain or suffering, whether physical, mental, or psychological, upon a person in the custody or under the control of the accused; except that torture shall not include pain or suffering arising only from, inherent in or incidental to, lawful sanctions." Psychological means of torture are not covered by the Rome Statute. This is a departure from Republic Act No. 9745, or the Anti-Torture Act of 2009, which limits torture to those "inflicted by or at the instigation of or with the consent or acquiescence of a person in authority or agent of a person in authority"for specific purposes.

Unlike the Rome Statute, Republic Act No. 9851 also adds or includes among other crimes against humanity persecution against any individual, group, or collectivity based on their sexual orientation. Enforced or "involuntary disappearance of persons" is also a punishable crime against humanity. It holds superiors liable as principals for crimes committed by subordinates under their effective command and control. This provides for command responsibility "as a form of criminal complicity" that jurisprudence has recognized:

In other words, command responsibility may be loosely applied in amparo cases in order to identify those accountable individuals that have the power to effectively implement whatever processes an amparo court would issue. In such application, the amparo court does not impute criminal responsibility but merely pinpoint the superiors it considers to be in the best position to protect the rights of the aggrieved party.

Such identification of the responsible and accountable superiors may well be a preliminary determination of criminal liability which, of course, is still subject to further investigation by the appropriate government agency.

Relatedly, the legislature came up with Republic Act No. 98)1 to include command responsibility as a form of criminal complicity in crimes against international humanitarian law, genocide and other crimes. RA 9851 is thus the substantive law that definitively imputes criminal liability to those superiors who, despite their position, still fail to take all necessary and reasonable measures within their power to prevent or repress the commission of illegal acts or to submit these matters to the competent authorities for investigation and prosecution.

All told, the more restrictive Rome Statute may have even weakened the substantive protections already previously afforded by Republic Act No. 9851. In such a case, it may well be beneficial to remove the confusion brought about by maintaining a treaty whose contents are inconsistent with antecedent statutory provisions.

Thursday, September 28, 2023

MARCOS VICTORY IN 2022 POLLS UNDER SERIOUS DOUBTS

 By Ba Ipe

 The political victory of Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and running mate Sara Duterte in the 2022 presidential elections in the Philippines, a key U.S. ally, is under serious doubts. Democratic quarters, led by telecommunications expert turned whistleblower Gen. Eliseo Rio, the reticent retired military general and former Cabinet member in the Rodrigo Duterte government, have raised suspicions on their victory going to the extent of claiming that the 2022 presidential elections were rigged to favor Marcos and Duterte at the expense of the more popular rival Leni Robredo, a former vice president, and Francis Pangilinan, a former senator.

Rio is known as the expert, who is instrumental in the modernization of the telecommunications facilities of the Armed Forces of the Philippines before his retirement in the military service. Marcos is the son of the dictator, who was toppled in the 1986 peaceful revolution. Duterte is the daughter of the immediate past Philippine president. She was the mayor for six years (2010-2016) of the southern port city of Davao City, where the Dutertes have hailed. Rio is not part of the democratic opposition establishment.

It is ironical that the democratic opposition led by the Liberal Party candidate Leni Robredo and running mate Francis Pangilinan were oblivious of what Rio claimed were machinations to rig the election results. All those claims of rigging the election results went public nine months after the conclusion of the May 9, 2022 presidential elections. A few days after the elections, Robredo went to New York City with her children purportedly “to take a rest from the gruelling campaign.” She was reported to have taken selfie shots with her kids, as they promenaded in the Central Park  in NYC.

She left everything to her political allies and did not in any way issue any statement that would claim election cheating. According to one of her lawyers, Robredo went to the extent of conceding the elections results, admitting that proof showed that Marcos cheated. Duterte and Robredo belonged to opposing political alliances but under the election rules in the Philippines, the winning presidential and vice presidential bets could belong to opposing camps.

Prior to the elections, Robredo gained widespread popularity in her native country mainly for her community projects. As the vice president of Rodrigo Duterte, Robredo did not support the erstwhile president, who was widely perceived a madman and murderer of his own people. Robredo opposed the bloody but failed Duterte’s war on drugs, which killed between 15,000 to 30,000 people. Duterte now faces charges of crimes against humanity before the International Criminal Court for his failed drug war.

Robredo has a reputation for an excellent community worker for a number of projects that seek to alleviate hardship in her poverty stricken country. But this could be her own undoing. She is not perceived to be keen on political strategy, which countering election cheating. She landed a poor second to Marcos with a vote difference of over fifteen million.

Rio is not identified with the democratic opposition. He started alone in claiming in a series of social media posts since early this year that the votes of Marcos and Robredo in the last elections were” statiscally impossible.” Until now, the political opposition has not picked up Rio’s claims, although a number of democratic activists have joined Rio and his group.

Rio, a former secretary of the Department of Information and Communications Technology, a newly created office in the Rodrigo Duterte government, raised questions that defied answers to claims that the elections were rigged. For instance, Rio cited as one of the pieces of evidence of his claim that no less than watchdog Commission on Elections, or Comelec, had admitted that the 20,300 voting counting machines modems, or VCMs transmitted their election returns, or ERs, using a single Internet Protocol (IP) Address 192.168.0.2. This was regarded inconceivable, according to Rio, because each VCM moden was asigned a single IP address.

Rio said Comelec admitted all these ERs were transmitted by a single telecommunications firm. At least three telco firms operate nationwide in the Philippines – the Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company (PLDT)  Group, Globe Telecom Inc. Group, and the Dito Telecommunity. These VCM modems, Rio said citing Comelec’s admission its official website, were distributed in Metro Manila and adjacent areas. Rio did not identify the telco firm that transmitted the ERs.

According to Rio, each VCM modem used any of the transmission cards of three telcos – PLDT, Globe, and Dito - so that the public schoolteachers, who manned the Electoral Board, could select the telco with the strongest signal in the voting precinct’s area. Assuming the three telcos had the same signal strength in Metro Manila and adjacent areas, the chance of each telco for being selected for transmission would be about equal, with a slight advantage for Globe and PLDT for being the dominant players in these areas.

According to Rio citing Comelec data in its website, Globe and PLDT never used the IP Address 192.168.0.2. What the official records showed, according to Rio’s revelations, was the use of the IP Address 192.168.0.2, and the telco/Internet service provider (ISP) that provided it, in 98.94% in all voting precincts in Metro Manila, 95.5% in the adjacent province of Cavite and 81.4% in the nearby province of Batangas.

Official Comelec records, according to Rio, also showed that the IP Address 192.168.0.2 was used by 51% of the unbelievable 39,512 VCM modems that transmitted in the first hour as shown the public by the Transparency Server on 8:02pm of May 9, 2022. In that first hour, for all intents and purposes, the winners for President and VP were already established. That first hour also fixed a constant vote ratio among all presidential and vice presidential candidates that never changed during the period of counting,” according to Rio.

According to Rio, the Church-based private watchdog Parish Pastoral Council for Resposible Voting (PPCRV)  tried to justify the constant vote ratio by using the law of large numbers. “But what large numbers are they talking about when only one IP Address was predominantly used? Rio mused. “That would be equivalent as to having a loaded dice.”

According to Rio, the first hour also showed what he regarded an uncanny ratio of actual voters to registered voters that are the same in many provinces and hardly changed in the second hour. COMELEC and its private watchdogs, PPCRV and National Movement for Free Elections (NAMFREL) could not explain why and how this private  IP Address 192.168.0.2 was used predominantly, yet it tried try to treat this phenomenon as just “a normal thing.”

They seemed to have forgotten, according to Rio, that modems are assigned IP addresses not by chance but by the telcos/ISPs and the administrator of the private network. Yet no one could explain why and how IP Address 192.168.0.2 had been used 20,300 times in a Private Network that has more than 17 million IP Addresses available to it.

“Actually the explanation may be quite simple. The 2022 Elections were rigged,” Rio said.

Rio’s claims have been circulating non-stop as Comelec officials could hardly answer tham. But they were not given much chance to succeed to disturb Marcos and Duterte from their current political posts. The reluctant of the political opposition to support Rio is another object of concern. Robredo has yet to give her approval to what is being raised. But certain democratic quarters have claimed that Robredo’s involvement is immaterial. She is past tense, they have claimed. 30

  

PHILIP M. Lustre Jr. is a journalist for more than four decates. He writes commentaries and feature articles on various topics in politics, economy, and social issues. He also writes books.

Friday, July 28, 2023

IS DUTERTE BEHIND CAMPAIGN ON ELECTION CHEATING IN 2022?

By Ba Ipe

AM QUIETLY doing the finishing touches on my book “Kill, Kill, Kill, Extrajudicial Killings in the Philippines; Crimes Against Humanity v Duterte e.t al.” when a U.S. based netizen friend sent me this private message: “You know there is possibility Duterte will squeal the Comelec cheating if pushed to the corner by BBM. Good for our country.”
I answered his PM in the briefest way possible: “It was a conspiracy against the Filipino people... I see them slitting each other's throat.” It was an answer that reflected my ambivalent feeling on the BBM and Duterte camps. I don’t see either camp saving this country from perdition. On the contrary, I see theirs as a quarrel of two big political families over power.
My friend’s message was within the context of the difficulties Duterte and his ilk currently face concerning the crimes against humanity charges, which they face before the International Criminal Court (ICC). The charges have reached the critical stage of “formal investigation,” where the ICC is empowered to issue arrest warrants against Duterte and the murderous clique that implemented Duterte’s bloody but failed war of drugs.
I had nothing much to say except to tell my netizen-friend what I perceived to be the endgame of the current campaign regarding alleged cheating in the 2022 elections: “The worst that we could have there is the impeachment of Comelec officials but not the removal of BBM to give way to Sara.” Yes, I've raised the possibility of Sara as the new president. It was not an entirely enticing possibility because Sara could be as psychologically unstable as her father.
The specter of Sara becoming a president to serve BBM’s unexpired term of office could trigger political instability. She is perceived to be even worse than her father, who is perceived to be a murderer of his own people. Both the father and daughter is a pair of despicable stinking political leaders.
From out of the blue, he dropped a different perception and said: “There is another angle - the Supreme Court (baby of Duterte). It could declare Failure Of Elections of 2022 - And hold another snap elections. I don't really know, am just thinking.”
I felt my friend was overstretching the issue. He probably drank three cups of black coffee in his home base. I don’t know but I don’t take Duterte to be a sophisticated thinker. I always described him and his group as the “Inferior Davao,” the criminal syndicate from that southern port city. It has an addendum: “Inferior in thoughts, in words, and in deeds.”
I told him that the prospect of a “snap” presidential elections was unconstitutional because the 1987 Constitution has specified the dates of presidential elections. But I mentioned the 1986 “snap” presidential elections, which the Supreme Court allowed after a day of oral arguments in December, 1985.
I remember then MP Emmanuel Pelaez, a seasoned politician, argued so well in favor of the snap elections, saying the country was facing a political question at that time and only the snap presidential elections could answer the political issue. He succeeded to convince the High Court to allow it. The rest is history.
Somehow, his statement raises the possibility that the current public campaign on election cheating could have been initiated by the Duterte camp. I don’t think that Gen. Eliseo Rio, who singlehanded raises the issue, would like it.
Nonetheless, it would be best for Gen. Rio to answer the perceptions that the madman from the South as the one behind his public campaign of election cheating. It is being hijacked by Duterte to sow fear into the BBM camp.
Is Duterte that sophisticated to think of an anti-BBM campaign?

Tuesday, July 18, 2023

TELECOM EXPERT PRESENTS ‘DIRECT EVIDENCE’ ON ELECTION CHEATING

IF election cheating happened in the 2022 presidential elections, where were the pieces of evidence to back that claim?

According to telecommunications expert turned whistleblower Eliseo Rio Jr., a former Cabinet member of the Duterte administration, the answer lies on the data, which the Commission on Elections (Comelec) has uploaded on its website  on March 23, 2023, or ten months after the May 9 elections held the previous year.

According to Rio, Comelec chair George Garcia billed the uploaded data as “transmission logs,” but they turned out to be “reception logs,” that contained a list of data from vote counting machines (VCMs)  received on the night of May 9, 2022, or the election day.

Rio said his group of election analysts immediately questioned the starting time indicated in those reception logs because it was improbable that these VCMs received election results (ERrs) at 19:08:50 (7:08:50 pm) on the night of May 9. According to Rio, even the Comelec General Instructions required nine major tasks to accomplish before any VCM transmission.

According to Rio, before any transmission could be made, it could take at least 19 minutes after voting closed at 7 pm. “The earliest time that VVCM transmissions can be received by the Transparency Server would be at 7:19 pm, not 7:08 pm, Rio said.

Rio went to discuss the counting process, which occurred after the closing of the voting at 7 pm. He said: first, it took one minute to print one copy of the National Election Result (ER) and the required printing of eight copies would take eight minutes; second, one copy of the local ER took 30 second to print and the required printing of eight copies would take four minutes; third since the other major tasks took around seven minutes to perform, the total time from closing the voting to the ER transmission would take 19 minutes.

 Rio concluded: “The earliest time that the Transparency Server would be receivingf VCM transmission would be at 7:19 pm, not 7:08 pm, as indicated in the Reception Logs shown by Comelec on March 23, 2023.”

Rio cited instances, which showed anomalies in the Comelec uploaded data. He surmised that prepared data were stored in unidentified sites in between the VCMs, which transmitted the votes, or ERs, to the Transparency Server, the final destiny of the ERs. In between the VCMs and the Transparency Server, manipulation of election results happened, he surmised.

Rio, who was once the DICT secretary, surmised these unidentified sites could have transmitted the manipulated votes at an earlier stipulated time to the Transparency. The disparity in time of transmission and reception were details that could not be ignored, Rio said.

The F. De Mesa Elementary School, a voting center in Barangay Putatan in Muntinlupa City, had 727 registered voters, of whom 591 voters actually voted. The ER was printed at 20:27:01 of May 9, 2022. The Transparency Server received the ER at 19:47:37 on Mayo 9, 2022. It appeared the Transparency Server received the ER 39 minutes, 24 seconds ahead of the actual printing. How it happened was something that boggled the mind.

The same thing happened to the VCM in Barangay San Andres in the town of Victoria in Tarlac. The voting center in San Andres Elementary School had 799 registered voters, of whom at 681 went to vote. The ER was printed at 22:03:39 on May 9, 2022. The Transparency Server received the ER at exactly 20:04:20. It was surprising that the reception was ahead by one hour, 19 seconds to the printing of ER.

In Barangay San Nicolas in the town of Castillejos, Zambales, a voting center in San Nicolas Elementary School had 507 voters, who went to the polls out of 712 registered voters. The ER was printed at 19:52:28 of Mayo 9, 2022. But the Transparency Server received it at 19:20:58 of the same night. The reception was ahead of 31 minuto, 30 seconds before the printing.

The same thing happened in a voting center in Monterey Hills Clubhouse in Barangay Silanganan in the town of San Mateo in the province of Rizal. The ER was printed at 23:33:20 of May 9, 2022. The surprising thing was that the Transparency Server rec eived the ER at 23:10:12 of May 9, 2022. The reception was ahead by 23 minutes, 8 seconds before the ER printing.

The official data from VCM in Barangay Paing in the town of Bantay in Ilocos Sur had the same character. The number of registered voters was 459 in Paing Day Care Center voting center, of whom 408 voted. The ER was printed at 19:18.27 on Mayo, 9, 2022, but the Comelec reception log said the ER was received by the Transparency Server at 19:11:21 of Mayo 9, 2022. The reception was ahead by 7 minutes, 26 seconds before the ER printing.

The data from Barangay Tayac sa Bantay, Ilocos Sur was equally surprising. The six polling precincts in Tayac Elementary school showed the ER was printed at 20:34:15 on Mayo 9, 2022. Baut the reception log said the Transparency Server received the ER at 19:24;45 on May 9, 2022. It could not be explained why the transmission happened ahead by one hour, 9 minutes , 20 seconds before the ER printing.

According to Rio, the Comelec has a lot to explain in the disparity of the time of printing and transmission. Reception of transmitted Ers should not come earlier than the time of printing. But the Comelec haa chosen to be quiet.

Rio said in a statement:

“The Raw Files uploaded in the COMELEC website show that there were more than 2,000 VCMs in the National Capital Region (NCR) with exactly the same Private IP Address - 192.168.0.2. This is technicallly IMPOSSIBLE when using only one network!

 “This plus the fact that ALL VCMs throughout the country and around the world carried a

Private IP Address, are clear proofs that there was a secret and illegal Private Network that first collected ALL Election Returns (ER) BEFORE these were transmitted to the COMELEC Servers.

“And this Private Network “in the Middle” was kept hidden to the public because it does not conform with the legal End-to-End Transmission Path that was demonstrated to stakeholders on March 22, 2022. Its existence was made known only when COMELEC published, inadvertently or purposely, the Raw Files in their website, on March 23, 2023.

“All VCMs used in the 2022 transmitted their ERs DIRECTLY to this illegal Private Network “in the Middle” which was secretly created by COMELEC/Smartmatic.

“This  explains so many things why COMELEC is stonewalling the numerous questions of irregularities observed in the 2022 Elections, such as 1) showing proof that the Transmission Logs of the Telcos thru their Call Detail Records (CDR) can show that there really VCM transmissions that passed their public networks in the first hour after voting closed, to account for that unbelievable 20M+ votes shown to the public at 8:02pm of May9, 2022; 2) how the Transparency Server was receiving ERs when these were NOT YET transmitted by the VCMs; 3) the ones manipulating this illegal Private Network seem to know what the official results of the 2022 Elections will be even BEFORE counting of votes began; 4) why Chairman George Garcia could not fulfill his commitment to show the Transmission Logs of the Telcos; 5) why the Reception logs showed a start time of 7:08pm when VCM transmissions can only start at 7:19pm at the earliest because of the 9 major tasks required by the COMELEC General Instructions BEFORE any transmissions can be made; and 6) why by 9pm of May 9, 2022 “TAPOS NA ANG BOKSING” as far as to who won as President and VP.

“COMELEC must show to the public the exact schematic diagram of this Private Network “in the Middle”and explain 1) how the IP Addresses of the Telcos/ISPs were translated from Public to Private; 2) how was this procured and at what cost; 3) who was its Network Administrator and 4) why this illegal Private Network ‘in the Middle’ was made in the first place.”

Monday, July 17, 2023

LOW KEY TELECOM EXPERT SAYS CHEATING TAKES PLACE IN 2022 ELECTIONS

 TELECOM EXPERT DEBUNKS CLAIMS OF HONEST AND FAIR ELECTIONS IN 2022

 Netizens say if cheating occurred in the 2022 presidential elections, why does the political opposition hardly complain? Why does Leni Robredo, Kiko Pangilinan, and the opposition senatorial candidates do not raise howls in every conceivable forum like the streets and the court? Why are they not filing any protest before the Commission on Elections (Comelec)? Why is there is no passion, spark, or spirit of protest in the opposition ranks?

 The issue of election cheating appears rooted in insufficient data. Concerned parties, including the private election watchdog organizations and the political opposition, could not openly claim any election cheating for lack of official data. They could not prove if Comelec and its private partner Smartmagic reneged on their mandate to ensure free, honest, orderly, and clean elections in 2022.

 The public has only gained recently of insights on the possibility of election cheating, but it did not come from the current crop of politicians and watchdog specialists, who hardly dare to stand up and make any expose. The insights mostly came from low-key retired Gen. Eliseo Rio, a telecommunications expert and former DICT top honcho.

The usually reticent Rio, who is not associated with any particular political persuasion, revealed what he considered as cheating on the basis of the official election data, which came from Comelec, the constitutional body mandated to manage the elections.

This year, Rio went public when he noticed the unusual traffic in the quantity of votes, which were counted in the first hour of counting. According to Rio, it was impossible for Smartmatic’s automated elections system to have counted more than 20 million votes in the first hour of counting, saying its system did not have capacity and capability. Rio surmised that Smartmatic and Comelec had conspired to cheat and give doctored results.

It was not automatic elections that had happened in 2022. It was the manipulation of election results to come out with the automatic winners, according to Rio. The conspiracy appeared blatant, he said.

Leni Robredo, or anyone in the political opposition, is nowhere to be seen opposing the alleged manipulation of election results. Seven months after the election day, Robredo was saying the political opposition was not in possession of any piece of evidence to conclude that cheating  took place in the last elections.

It took Emil Maranon, an election lawyer who worked in the Leni Robredo camp, to correct Leni’s statement saying that although the political opposition did not have any evidence to prove election cheating, her statement should not be taken to mean that no election cheating indeed took place. It was his way to say that the people should keep on open mind on this issue because concrete evidence could probably surface in the future.

Leni has proven to be an excellent community worker. Her skill and dedication to community development and public service is beyond doubt, as community works through her NGO, Angat Buhay, showed exceptional results. She is no longer in power, but she keeps her presence felt by doing community projects.

 But she is not a political strategist. Her knowledge, understanding, and appreciation of political strategy is wanting. She hardly understands the complexities and ultimate necessity of a strategy to win political power and enjoy unhampered governance.

The late ex-Sen. Ernesto Maceda, who, in his time,  established a reputation for political pragmatism, once said that a great political leader is one who could cheat and stop cheating, at the same time. Ultimately, he wins in every election that he participates.

The Liberal Party did not have a political strategist, who perceived election cheating. The LP did not have any ace on its sleeve to put Comelec and Smartmagic on the defensive. The damage to its cause was exacerbated when Leni Robredo immediately left for abroad with her daughters to take some selfie shots in some parts known and unknown.

Hence, the LP seeme to have been transformed into a halfway house for political orphans, who felt abandoned by their leaders. Not one among the opposition leaders spoke the perceived election cheating.

It took Gen. Eliseo Rio to come out in the open to denounce publicly what he considered election cheating. Political stalwarts from every conceivable side of the political fence either ignored him or dismissed him as another political charlatan. He does not possess the skill for public speaking. He is not a orator, who could wake up his audience from stupor.

But Rio has a scientific and  scholarly mind, who could breathe life on all the cold statistical data from Comelec. Rio could interpret them appropriately on the basis of science and technology. On the basis of what Rio was claiming, Comelec was forced to reveal the official data it has in its possession.

Rio could see the anomalies in these data. More statistical data from him are to come out in the open. The Comelec data is proving to be the proverbial nooze that would hang its neck before the court of public opinion.            

Sunday, July 16, 2023

DAYAAN SA HALALAN (4)

 DAYAAN SA HALALAN (4)

 MAY ilang magandang tanong mula sa netizen: Kung nagkaroon ng dayaan noong halalan ng 2022, bakit hindi nagreklamo ang oposisyon? Bakit walang tinig ng pagtutol mula kay Leni Robredo, Kiko Pangilinan, mga kandidato para senador at ibang kandidato sa lokal na posisyon na pawang mga nangatalo? Bakit hindi sila nagsampa ng reklamo o protesta sa Comelec?

Bakit malamig pa sa ilong ng pusa ang oposisyon? Bakit walang kilos protesta sa lansangan, husgado, at anumang larangan? Bakit walang nakikitang init, galit, alab, o nagpupuyos na damdamin sa oposisyon? Bakit sa isang retiradong heneral nanggaling ang tinig ng alinlangan tungkol sa resulta ng halalan?

Ang kakulangan ng sapat na datos ang lumalabas na pinakamalinaw na sagot at paliwanag sa mga tanong. Hindi malaman kung sinadya o nagkulang ang mga private watchdog, o tagabantay sa halalan – at kasama ang oposisyon diyan – sa sagradong tungkulin na panatilihin ang bawat eleksyon na malaya, malinis, at tunay na salamin ng kagustuhan ng bayan.

Kamakailan lang nagkaroon ng kabatiran (insight) na may posibilidad na may dayaan. Walang nangahas tumayo sa usapin kundi si Hen. Eliseo Rio, dating kalihim ng DICT at itinuturing na isang dalubhasa sa telekomunikasyon. Hindi kasapi ng alinmang grupo si Rio, hindi pulitiko, at lalong hindi oposisyon, ngunit napansin niya ang anomalya sa datos ng mismong Comelec, ang sangay ng gobyerno na ang pangunahing tungkulin ay mamahala sa bawat halalan at lutasin ang mga sigalot sa pagitan ng mga iba’ibang grupo at kandidato.

Ngayong taon, lumantad si Rio matapos napansin niya ang kakaibang dami ng boto na binilang sa unang oras ng bilangan. Imposible umano na nabilang ang mahigit na 20 milyon boto sa unang oras. Hindi kakayanin ng pasilidad ng Smartmatic, ang pribadong kompanya na nangasiwa sa nakalipas na halalan. Naniniwala si Rio na nagsabwatan ang Smartmatic at Comelec upang dayain ang nakalipas na halalan.

Hindi automated elections ang nangyari noong nakaraang taon. Automatic elections kung saan automatic winner sina BBM at Sara sa pangulo at pangalawang panglo at nanguna ni Robin sa senador – ito ang nangyari.

***        

HINDI nakita kahit si Leni Robredo o sinuman sa oposisyon ang pinapaniwalaang pandaraya o manipulasyon sa bilangan ng boto noong nakaraang halalan. Maingat ang bagsak ng salita ni Leni sa isang pahayag pitong buwan pagkalipas ng halalan. “Hindi kami nakakita ng katibayan na may dayaan noong nakaraang halalan,” ani Leni sa isang pahayag sa New York City na sinasabing nalathala sa mga pahayagan doon. Walang nakitang diretsong ebidensya na may dayaan, aniya.

Sinusugan ni Emil Maranon, isang abogado na nagtrabaho sa kampo ni Leni noong halalan, ang pahayag ni Leni. Sinabi niya na kahit sinabi ni Leni na walang hawak na ebidensya ng dayaan sa nakalipas sa halalan, hindi ito nangangahulugan na walang dayaan.

Magaling na community worker si Leni Robredo. Hinahangaan dito at sa buong mundo. Nakita ang kanang mga nagawa bilang isang commnity worker sa kanyang NGO, ang Angat Buhay. Marami itong proyekto na pinakikinabangan ng maraming mamamayan. Kahit wala na sa poder si Leni, Nandiyan pa siya at tumutulong. Katangi-tangi ang kanang mga nagawa.

Ngunit hindi political strategist si Leni. Maikli ang kanyang unawa sa pangangailangan ng estratehiya sa pulitika. Hindi niya ganap na naiintindihan ang pangangailangan ng estratehiya sa pulitika lalo na sa halalan kung saan mapipigil ang dayaan.

Minsan sinabi ng namayapang Ernesto Maceda na ang magaling na pulitiko ay ang marunong at magaling mandaya at iyong bihasang pumigil sa dayaan sa mga halalan. Sila ang mga nagdodomina sa pulitika. Sila ang ying at yang ng pulitika sa Filipinas.

Walang political strategist ang Liberal Party na nakasilip sa dayaan. Hindi natulungan si Leni at Kiko upang magkaroon ng alas na baraha na isasalya sa natapos na bilangan. Nakalulungkot ang nangyari dahil sa pagtatapos ng bilangan, umalis si Leni kasama ang mga anak at nag-selfie lang sa ibang bansa.

Mistulang naulila ang mga tagasunod dahil walang tumayong lider ang oposisyon upang magsalita o magprotesta kahit katiting sa resulta ng halalan.

Mabuti at may lumantad na Heneral Eliseo Rio na lumabas upang magsalita sa pinaniniwalaan niyang dayaan o manipulasyon sa bilangan ng nakalipas na halalan. Hindi siya pinapansin dahil hindi siya orador na magaling sa diskurso sa publiko.

Ngunit mayroon siyang isipan na pinanday ng agham at teknolohiya upang ipaliwanag ang mga datos na nakalap niya sa Comelec. Dahil sa kanyang mga batikos, napilitan ang Comelec na maglabas ng mga itinagong datos na hindi hiningi ng mga lapian pulitikal and pribadong watchog. Nagsilbing lubid na nagbigti sa sarili ang mga datos na inilabas ng Coemelc dahil napansin ng matalim na isip ni Rio ang mga kakatwang anomalya sa datos.        

Marami pang lalabas na katanungan.