Wednesday, May 13, 2020

DISASTROUS EFFECTS OF FOREIGN POLICY PIVOT TO CHINA


By Philip M. Lustre Jr.

DEALING with China is dealing with a rogue state.

This appears to be the main lesson Italy has learned when it has opened its economy to China. Worst, Italy is one of the most ravaged country by the novel coronavirus pandemic.

The troubles arising from Italy-China relations offer a cautionary tale for the Philippines, which like Italy, has opened its economy to China’s entry. The Philippine political leadership, led by the foul-mouthed Rodrigo Duterte has opened major sectors – telecommunications, energy, tourism, and key infrastructures to Chinese entry and control.

This is not to mention the entry of so-called Philippine offshore gaming operators, POGOs, mostly, if not all, Chinese firms that provide online gaming operations to specific markets, particularly China. The presence of tens of thousands of Chinese POGO workers has been a major irritant to many Filipinos mainly because of their unhealthy, or unsanitary, ways.

Italy-China relations offer many lessons.  Press reports said a year after Italy signed up to China’s global investment program, the Belt and Road initiative, relations between Rome and Peking have started to deteriorate rather than strengthen.

The much awaited economic benefits for Italy have yet to materialize, as its trade deficit with China has widened in 2019. The Covid-19 pandemic did not alleviate the situation, as Italy had moved to stop all flights to China over worries about the dreaded virus.

Alongside stalled investments, trade benefits did not add up for Italy. Italian exports to China showed a decline of one percentage point in 2019, even as overall foreign sales rose, according to preliminary figures released by statistics agency Istat in January. With Chinese imports growing, Italy’s total trade deficit with China climbed to €18.7 billion ($20 billion).

Tensions related to the virus “will blow over once Covid disappears,” said Jan Weidenfeld of the Mercator Institute for China Studies in Berlin. “But those fundamental issues of reassessment of what’s doing business with China means, that is here to stay.”

Italian author Giacomino Nicolazzo recounted the way ex- Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s government has allowed China to get away with purchases and acquisitions in violation of Italian laws and European Union trade agreements with the United States and the United Kingdom.

“In 2014, China infused the Italian economy with €5 billion through purchases of companies costing less than €100 million each. By the time Renzi left office (in disgrace) in 2016, Chinese acquisitions had exceeded €52 billion,” said Nicolazzo.

When the dust settled, China owned more than 300 companies representing 27 percent of the major Italian firms. Nicolazzo said the Bank of China now owns five major banks in Italy, all of which had been secretly and illegally propped up by Renzi using pilfered pension funds. He claimed soon after, the China Milan Equity Exchange was opened  and much of Italy’s wealth was being funneled back to the Chinese mainland.

Chinese state entities own Italy’s major telecommunication corporation (Telecom Italia) as well as its major utilities (ENI and ENEL) and national power grid. “Throughout all of these purchases and acquisitions, Renzi’s government afforded the Chinese unrestricted and unfettered access to Italy and its financial markets, many coming through without customs inspections,” said Nicolazzo.

“Quite literally, tens of thousands of Chinese came in illegally through Milan and went back home carrying money, technology and corporate secrets. Thousands more were allowed to enter and disappeared into shadows of Milan and other manufacturing cities of Lombardy, only to surface in illegal sewing shops, producing knock-off designer clothes and slapping ‘Made In Italy’ labels on them -- all with the tacit approval of the Renzi government.”

“This should hopefully be a warning to the world that while we work to rid ourselves of the virus, we should just as vehemently endeavor to rid ourselves of any government that circumvents the Constitution and ignores the laws of the land,” stressed Nicolazzo.

The Philippines has been following in Italy in its unabashed foreign policy pivot to favor China. Since Duterte’s election in 2016, China’s presence has been quite noticeable.

Encroachment into the country is highlighted by published reports that 3,000 members of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) have entered the country either  tourists or workers in POGO firms.  Sen. Panfilo Lacson, chair of the Senate committee on national defense and security, said he had received what could be considered an unverified information from a source that 2,000 to 3,000 PLA personnel are in the country on “immersion missions” and other unknown purposes.

“If true, we have every reason to be concerned because of the circumstances surrounding the West Philippine Sea, not to mention the unusually high number of Chinese influx and the unexplainable amount of monies flowing into the country from [the] Chinese…” said Lacson.

The PLA report comes at the heels of security fears hounding the Philippines’ power and telecommunications sectors, due to China’s control over the national grid and the entry of the third major telecommunications firm.

Legislative probes have already been conducted into national security threats resulting from Chinese ownership and control of the Philippines’ power grid, given that the State Grid Corporation of China is the single biggest equity holder in the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) at 40%.

In the telecommunications sector, the Philippine military is opening up its bases and camps to Chinese government presence by allowing Dito Telecommunity to build facilities in military camps and installations. Dito is a consortium of Filipino businessman Dennis Uy’s holdings firm Udenna Corporation with a 35% stake, his listed company Chelsea Logistics, 25%, and the Chinese government-owned and -controlled China Telecom, 40%.

According to Sen. Francis Pangilinan, an assessment from the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) on the move to allow Dito Telecommunity to put up its towers in military camps warned of the possibility of eavesdropping by the China-linked telecommunications firm.

With anti-China sentiment rising in the Philippines, the Duterte government can learn from the experiences of its European counterpart. Italy’s former deputy prime minister and opposition leader Matteo Salvini warned that “trade agreements, friendship and cultural relations are fine, but handing over the keys of our home to Chinese companies, which depend on the state -- no.”

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas cautioned that if some countries “think they can do clever deals with the Chinese, they will come down to earth with a bump.” #

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